{"id":"01a1e0e0-4f46-78b9-b3eb-6e9f5c2cb7b3","title":"Will holders of SOBI-LEASING's defaulted bonds (series 001P-03 to 001P-07) approve the updated restructuring terms at the 24 November 2026 general meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1e0ae-bfad-7527-b125-feba63178a1a","deadline":"2026-11-30T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.55,"as_of":"2026-11-15T20:22:39.173984Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T20:22:39.173984Z","condition":"YES if a dated disclosure by the issuer or its bondholder representative (e-disclosure.ru, rusbonds.ru, cbonds, Frank Media, abn.agency) reports that the general meetings of holders of SOBI-LEASING series 001P-03, 001P-04, 001P-05, 001P-06 and 001P-07, held by absentee ballot with votes counted on 24 November 2026, adopted the updated restructuring terms for all five series (three-quarters-of-votes threshold per issue). NO if the meetings again fail for lack of quorum, if the terms are voted down for any series, or if no such disclosure exists by 30 November 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}