{"id":"01a1de53-2dd5-7e21-85de-c3a5f164b51a","title":"The EU will oppose talks on a new European security architecture until a truce is signed in Ukraine.","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1cfb5-f49e-77c4-9b66-213aa396c240","deadline":"2026-11-12T16:30:00.439519Z","status":"open","probability":0.906806,"as_of":"2026-11-15T08:29:14.165018Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T08:29:14.193973Z","condition":"The EU will oppose talks on a new European security architecture until a truce is signed in Ukraine.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}