{"id":"01a1de50-4635-7741-bc82-29151929e54d","title":"Will the RBA raise the cash rate above 4.85% at its 8 December 2026 meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1de0e-8f57-7790-8858-c08392a3996a","deadline":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-15T08:26:05.236631Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T08:26:05.236631Z","condition":"Yes if the Reserve Bank of Australia's Monetary Policy Board raises the cash rate target above 4.85% at its 7-8 December 2026 meeting (announcement 2:30pm AEDT, 8 December 2026). No if the cash rate is left at 4.85% or cut.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}