{"id":"01a1dde5-b6d5-7027-ab16-6b0515892572","title":"Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11","deadline":"2026-11-24T20:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.72,"as_of":"2026-11-15T06:29:41.716214Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T06:29:41.716214Z","condition":"YES if a dated report, official statement (Petra / Jordan Prime Ministry) or House record shows the Cabinet's anti-terrorism amendment package (the \"first package\" decided at the 8 November 2026 Cabinet session, raising minimum terrorism penalties from 5 to 10/15 years and barring early release) was transmitted/referred to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026. NO if no such referral is documented by the deadline, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1dde6-15db-7891-be93-01d6bc4175dd","title":"Jordan's draft anti-terrorism amendments will NOT be referred to the House of Representatives by 22 November 2026","status":"open","probability":0.28,"as_of":"2026-11-15T06:30:06.042878Z","deadline":"2026-11-24T20:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}