{"id":"01a1dd78-2df7-7d1a-b6ce-3018118b8c72","title":"the conflict ends soon","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1cb86-b149-7f3c-b2f1-9251282de834","deadline":"2026-11-13T00:30:00.395656Z","status":"open","probability":0.90915,"as_of":"2026-11-15T04:30:02.593821Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T04:30:02.665962Z","condition":"the conflict ends soon","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}