{"id":"01a1dd6e-a2ed-799e-af59-01f8f84e2f6a","title":"Will flynas operate its first scheduled direct Damascus–Madinah passenger flight on 19 November 2026, as announced by Syria's civil aviation authority?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1dd3c-4fa1-792e-b5e2-411b539626cf","deadline":"2026-11-21T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.88,"as_of":"2026-11-15T04:19:37.833557Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T04:19:37.833557Z","condition":"YES if flynas operates its first scheduled non-stop commercial passenger flight between Damascus and Madinah (either direction) on 19 November 2026, as reported by flynas, Syria's General Authority of Civil Aviation and Air Transport, Damascus/Prince Mohammed bin Abdulaziz airport sources, or flight-tracking/OAG schedule data. NO if no such flight operates on 19 November 2026 (launch postponed, cancelled, or operated only on a later date).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}