{"id":"01a1dd6e-4a46-7a95-ab2b-2ee958b04343","title":"Will Spain's Council of Ministers approve the royal decree raising the SMI by 5.3% for 2027 on or before 24 November 2026, i.e. before the 29 November general election?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1dd48-46fa-7e17-a6a0-78645b3d7c79","deadline":"2026-11-25T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.85,"as_of":"2026-11-15T04:19:15.141964Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T04:19:15.141964Z","condition":"YES if the Consejo de Ministros approves the real decreto fixing the salario mínimo interprofesional for 2027 at 1,286 euros/month (5.3%) at a meeting held on or before 24 November 2026, as reported by the Moncloa press conference, the MITES ministry, or the BOE. NO if no such approval has occurred by 24 November 2026 (deferred to the caretaker government or the incoming government after the 29 November election).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1dd6e-6a95-7ef0-b0ad-d474b625e268","title":"Will the 5.3% SMI increase for 2027 instead be left unapproved by 24 November 2026 — deferred to the caretaker government or the government formed after the 29 November election?","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-15T04:19:23.413242Z","deadline":"2026-11-25T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}