{"id":"01a1dcf5-5e08-7c9c-95c1-00552359b1ff","title":"Will the FOMC leave the target range unchanged at 3.75–4.00% at the 8–9 December 2026 meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1db9e-7cde-7608-bd9a-fefa7ecad97e","deadline":"2026-12-10T04:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.14,"as_of":"2026-11-15T02:07:10.343998Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1dcf5-377f-7723-92d3-767d5ab34df2","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T02:07:10.343998Z","condition":"YES if the 9 December 2026 FOMC statement keeps the target range at 3.75–4.00%. NO if the range is changed in either direction.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1dcf5-377f-7723-92d3-767d5ab34df2","title":"Will the FOMC raise the federal funds target range by at least 25 basis points at its 8–9 December 2026 meeting (decision announced 9 December 2026)?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}