{"id":"01a1dcf5-5df7-7e50-b739-66bff2069710","title":"Will the FOMC raise by 50 basis points (to 4.25–4.50%) at the 8–9 December 2026 meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1db9e-7cde-7608-bd9a-fefa7ecad97e","deadline":"2026-12-10T04:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.1,"as_of":"2026-11-15T02:07:10.327344Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1dcf5-377f-7723-92d3-767d5ab34df2","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-15T02:07:10.327344Z","condition":"YES if the 9 December 2026 FOMC statement sets the target range at 4.25–4.50% (a 50bp increase from 3.75–4.00%). NO for any smaller increase or no change.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1dcf5-377f-7723-92d3-767d5ab34df2","title":"Will the FOMC raise the federal funds target range by at least 25 basis points at its 8–9 December 2026 meeting (decision announced 9 December 2026)?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}