{"id":"01a1da6c-a1f3-7caa-9f98-4529f9dc14bc","title":"Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?","target_type":"event","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-11-20T20:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.4,"as_of":"2026-11-14T14:18:34.867384Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1da6c-873d-70aa-9246-8ca23c2bbc19","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T14:18:34.867384Z","condition":"YES if by 23:59 EAT on 20 November 2026 either (a) neither Murkomen nor Kanja has appeared before the Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations, or (b) only one of the two has appeared, or (c) the 19 November sitting was postponed to a date after 20 November 2026. Resolution source: dated Nation Africa / The Standard / Kenyan Tribune / Capital FM report or the Senate Order Paper.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1da6c-873d-70aa-9246-8ca23c2bbc19","title":"Will Kenya's Interior CS Kipchumba Murkomen and IG Douglas Kanja both appear before the Senate National Security Committee on 19 November 2026 over abductions?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}