{"id":"01a1da6c-873d-70aa-9246-8ca23c2bbc19","title":"Will Kenya's Interior CS Kipchumba Murkomen and IG Douglas Kanja both appear before the Senate National Security Committee on 19 November 2026 over abductions?","target_type":"event","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-11-20T20:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.6,"as_of":"2026-11-14T14:18:28.028534Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T14:18:28.028534Z","condition":"YES if both Interior Cabinet Secretary Kipchumba Murkomen and Inspector General of Police Douglas Kanja appear in person before Kenya's Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations (chair: Isiolo Senator Fatuma Dullo) on 19 November 2026, or at a sitting of that committee on or before 20 November 2026, to answer questions on abductions. Resolution source: a dated report by Nation Africa, The Standard, Kenyan Tribune, Capital FM or KBC, or the Senate's published Order Paper/committee schedule. NO if neither appears by 20 November 2026, if only one of the two appears, or if the sitting is postponed to a later date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1da6c-a1f3-7caa-9f98-4529f9dc14bc","title":"Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?","status":"open","probability":0.4,"as_of":"2026-11-14T14:18:34.867384Z","deadline":"2026-11-20T20:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}