{"id":"01a1da6c-300a-7ced-9db7-41c2a8782d62","title":"Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1d0f7-c6e5-73b3-ae32-a2e9595fedd8","deadline":"2026-11-20T20:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.1,"as_of":"2026-11-14T14:18:05.706109Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1da6c-11be-711a-8150-b8de654df25b","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T14:18:05.706109Z","condition":"YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1da6c-11be-711a-8150-b8de654df25b","title":"Will Russia's State Duma adopt the 2027–2029 federal budget package in second reading at its 19 November 2026 plenary session, or by 20 November 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}