{"id":"01a1da24-b99e-796b-9f9d-c3ddf56ac6fd","title":"The author promised 10,000 servings of 雞排 and 珍奶 if 台股 does not reach 50,000 points by year-end.","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1d7db-b2e8-77be-aba9-666409e350eb","deadline":"2026-12-14T02:30:00.390802Z","status":"open","probability":0.909808,"as_of":"2026-11-14T13:00:01.723237Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T13:00:01.750412Z","condition":"The author promised 10,000 servings of 雞排 and 珍奶 if 台股 does not reach 50,000 points by year-end.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}