{"id":"01a1d9f6-5b4d-7270-a360-808aabfe8f52","title":"Will the Ala-Too Resort first-phase opening slip past 2 December 2026 but still take place on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5","deadline":"2026-12-31T17:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.18,"as_of":"2026-11-14T12:09:23.532069Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1d9f6-0a3e-7766-aea2-2b96706021c3","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T12:09:23.532069Z","condition":"YES if the first phase of Ala-Too Resort's Jyrgalan cluster is not opened to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, but a dated report shows it opening (ceremony or lifts/runs operating for guests) between 3 December and 31 December 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1d9f6-0a3e-7766-aea2-2b96706021c3","title":"Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}