{"id":"01a1d9f6-38d7-7d2c-9b8a-6b490ee2b222","title":"Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the \"unified benefit\" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1d990-d9cb-7e71-be51-99ecc5e7b556","deadline":"2026-12-31T20:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.6,"as_of":"2026-11-14T12:09:14.711377Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T12:09:14.711377Z","condition":"YES if the Russian Government (Prime Minister Mishustin) signs and publishes the resolution amending the rules for the monthly \"unified benefit\" (postanovlenie No. 2330 of 16.12.2022) — the draft published on regulation.gov.ru as project 172574, introducing account-turnover checks and the 10-MROT minimum-earnings rule — on or before 31 December 2026, evidenced by publication on publication.pravo.gov.ru or a dated government/agency announcement. NO if it is not signed and published by then, or is withdrawn.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}