{"id":"01a1d9f6-0a3e-7766-aea2-2b96706021c3","title":"Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5","deadline":"2026-12-02T17:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.75,"as_of":"2026-11-14T12:09:02.781866Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T12:09:02.781866Z","condition":"YES if Ala-Too Resort OJSC / the Kyrgyz Cabinet opens the first phase of the Jyrgalan (Ala-Too Resort) mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026 — evidenced by a dated report of the opening ceremony or of lifts/runs operating for guests. NO if the opening is formally postponed beyond 2 December 2026 or no opening takes place by then.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1d9f6-5b4d-7270-a360-808aabfe8f52","title":"Will the Ala-Too Resort first-phase opening slip past 2 December 2026 but still take place on or before 31 December 2026?","status":"open","probability":0.18,"as_of":"2026-11-14T12:09:23.532069Z","deadline":"2026-12-31T17:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}