{"id":"01a1d985-ee38-7fcf-b305-7e21c7de9399","title":"Will the Bank of Japan raise its policy rate from 1.25% to 1.50% at the 17–18 December 2026 meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1d95d-30b5-7023-87c4-a6b20dab3bac","deadline":"2026-12-19T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.85,"as_of":"2026-11-14T10:06:35.576534Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T10:06:35.576534Z","condition":"Resolves YES if the Bank of Japan raises its short-term policy rate from 1.25% to 1.50% at the monetary policy meeting concluding on 18 December 2026, as announced in the BOJ's post-meeting statement (or a dated wire report of that decision) on or before 2026-12-19T23:59:59Z. Resolves NO if the BOJ leaves the policy rate at 1.25% at that meeting, or if the decision is taken at a later meeting.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}