{"id":"01a1d92d-94d7-7da5-b68d-f4fadff3c22f","title":"Friedrich Merz (CDU) will only agree to the EU budget for 2028 to 2034 if all member states co-finance Ukraine.","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1d549-a970-7db8-9637-f8af481924a2","deadline":"2026-12-13T14:30:00.355396Z","status":"open","probability":0.913037,"as_of":"2026-11-14T08:30:05.092245Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T08:30:05.134339Z","condition":"Friedrich Merz (CDU) will only agree to the EU budget for 2028 to 2034 if all member states co-finance Ukraine.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}