{"id":"01a1d8ad-39de-7630-868b-ff96a1215990","title":"Will Republican Gabe Firment win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District runoff against Democrat Pat Moore on 12 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cedb-e3e5-78d5-aa0c-44b93f02404c","deadline":"2026-12-13T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.85,"as_of":"2026-11-14T06:09:53.629930Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T06:09:53.629930Z","condition":"Yes if Republican Gabe Firment is certified/elected as the winner of Louisiana's 5th Congressional District in the 12 December 2026 runoff against Democrat Patricia \"Pat\" Moore. No if Moore wins.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}