{"id":"01a1d760-dc25-73c9-a3c2-5b2c82bc6c02","title":"Will the Knesset swear in a Gadi Eisenkot-led government on or before 20 December 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1c28e-3199-7485-abdc-5e0eebb4c54f","deadline":"2026-12-21T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.4,"as_of":"2026-11-14T00:06:51.680974Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-14T00:06:51.680974Z","condition":"YES if the Knesset votes confidence in, and swears in, a government headed by Gadi Eisenkot (Yashar) on or before 20 December 2026 — including a government formed after a presidential extension of his mandate. NO if by 20 December 2026 Eisenkot has returned the mandate, been replaced by another mandate holder, or no Eisenkot-led government has been sworn in.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}