{"id":"01a1d4cb-cb94-794d-af39-5d825d3699f2","title":"Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cc20-9ccb-75bd-87c3-a1184c253d76","deadline":"2026-12-18T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.93,"as_of":"2026-11-13T12:04:48.148069Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-13T12:04:48.148069Z","condition":"Yes if the ECB Governing Council announces at its 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting that it is raising the deposit facility rate from 2.50% (i.e. by any amount, most likely 25bp to 2.75%). No if the deposit rate is left unchanged at 2.50% or cut.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}