{"id":"01a1d23a-a0f1-7adf-b615-14dbdd3512c2","title":"Will Copom instead cut the Selic rate by 25bp or more at its 8–9 December 2026 meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1d1b1-00a6-7d86-828c-7ce1f67a9781","deadline":"2026-12-10T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.13,"as_of":"2026-11-13T00:07:00.081106Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1d23a-5ce9-705f-9075-8b80f367a82d","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-13T00:07:00.081106Z","condition":"Yes if the Copom statement after the 8–9 December 2026 meeting lowers the Selic target to 13.50% or below. A hold at 13.75% or any hike makes this NO.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1d23a-5ce9-705f-9075-8b80f367a82d","title":"Will Brazil's Copom leave the Selic rate unchanged at 13.75% at its 8–9 December 2026 meeting?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}