{"id":"01a1d23a-80b9-7d8c-91ce-81dd42358158","title":"Will Diamondback and KKR close their acquisition of Five Point's 70% stake in Deep Blue Midland Basin on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1d14c-4e91-7875-be90-48cd05b1d941","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.65,"as_of":"2026-11-13T00:06:51.833420Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-13T00:06:51.833420Z","condition":"Yes if Diamondback Energy and KKR complete their acquisition of Five Point Infrastructure's 70% stake in Deep Blue Midland Basin LLC (giving them 100% alongside Diamondback's existing 30%) and announce the closing on or before 31 December 2026. A deal that is only signed/announced but not closed by that date makes this NO.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1d23a-a0e6-7ca9-bfa0-bb098c107a5c","title":"Will the Deep Blue acquisition close in Q1 2027 instead, i.e. after 31 December 2026 but on or before 31 March 2027?","status":"open","probability":0.3,"as_of":"2026-11-13T00:07:00.070128Z","deadline":"2027-03-31T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}