{"id":"01a1d23a-5cf5-76de-b118-67d960913f1e","title":"Will the IMF Executive Board approve the DR Congo ECF fourth review and RSF third review on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cfe7-66de-7461-b23a-2137a878c03e","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.8,"as_of":"2026-11-13T00:06:42.676964Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-13T00:06:42.676964Z","condition":"Yes if the IMF Executive Board completes consideration and approves the fourth review under the DRC's Extended Credit Facility and the third review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (including the requested higher access / relaxed 2026–2027 deficit ceilings) on or before 31 December 2026, as evidenced by an IMF press release. A Board meeting that is scheduled but not held, or a decision deferred to 2027, makes this NO.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}