{"id":"01a1d0f2-2688-722a-a905-4db4e77e708c","title":"Will MOEX's organised crypto market start slip past 1 December 2026 but still execute its first trades by 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cea3-8448-748c-8597-5c2d3f90790d","deadline":"2027-01-01T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.925539Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1d0f2-0ab9-7fb2-946c-55bdebf9f535","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.925539Z","condition":"YES if no digital-currency trade is executed on MOEX on 1 December 2026, but at least one BTC/ETH/USDT trade is executed on the MOEX platform on or before 31 December 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1d0f2-0ab9-7fb2-946c-55bdebf9f535","title":"Will the Moscow Exchange execute its first organised digital-currency trades on 1 December 2026, as announced?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}