{"id":"01a1d0f2-267e-7ba6-96f1-0b75c41d5143","title":"Will Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e","deadline":"2026-11-20T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.05,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.913418Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1d0f1-d298-7905-8e9b-75fb84e3fcc0","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.913418Z","condition":"YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1d0f1-d298-7905-8e9b-75fb84e3fcc0","title":"Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}