{"id":"01a1d0f2-0ab9-7fb2-946c-55bdebf9f535","title":"Will the Moscow Exchange execute its first organised digital-currency trades on 1 December 2026, as announced?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cea3-8448-748c-8597-5c2d3f90790d","deadline":"2026-12-02T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.8,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:05.814839Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T18:08:05.814839Z","condition":"YES if the Moscow Exchange (MOEX) executes at least one digital-currency trade (BTC, ETH or USDT) on its new organised crypto market on 1 December 2026, as announced by the exchange on 2 November 2026. NO if the start is postponed beyond 1 December 2026 or no trade is executed that day.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1d0f2-2688-722a-a905-4db4e77e708c","title":"Will MOEX's organised crypto market start slip past 1 December 2026 but still execute its first trades by 31 December 2026?","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.925539Z","deadline":"2027-01-01T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}