{"id":"01a1d0f2-0a9a-753f-8c70-33199703cf05","title":"Will the Moscow City Court on 25 November 2026 leave YevroTrans chairman Igor Martyshov in pre-trial detention until 6 February 2027, dismissing the defence appeal?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cf0b-9b42-7646-9af2-06b0dca7d43a","deadline":"2026-11-27T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.88,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:05.785806Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T18:08:05.785806Z","condition":"YES if the Moscow City Court, at the 25 November 2026 appeal hearing, leaves in force the Meschan sky district court ruling extending Igor Martyshov's pre-trial detention to 6 February 2027 (i.e. dismisses the defence appeal and he remains in custody). NO if the appellate court overturns or varies the measure (release, transfer to house arrest, or a shorter custody term).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1d0f2-265b-78b0-a981-0810aeb07865","title":"Will the Moscow City Court on 25 November 2026 vary Igor Martyshov's measure — releasing him or moving him to house arrest?","status":"open","probability":0.12,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.888213Z","deadline":"2026-11-27T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}