{"id":"01a1d0f1-d298-7905-8e9b-75fb84e3fcc0","title":"Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e","deadline":"2026-11-20T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.95,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:07:51.435878Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T18:07:51.435878Z","condition":"YES if the game is commercially released (digital unlock and/or physical code-in-box sale) on 19 November 2026 on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S. NO if Rockstar/Take-Two announce a further delay before that date, or the launch does not occur on 19 November 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1d0f2-267e-7ba6-96f1-0b75c41d5143","title":"Will Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?","status":"open","probability":0.05,"as_of":"2026-11-12T18:08:12.913418Z","deadline":"2026-11-20T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}