{"id":"01a1cfa8-27ae-7c3d-82ca-ea1c7f490368","title":"Will the Kuomintang win the largest number of Taiwan's 22 county and city leadership posts in the 28 November 2026 local elections?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cde4-2c02-73a9-bf95-fcc78a48c6d9","deadline":"2026-11-30T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.7,"as_of":"2026-11-12T12:07:46.348377Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T12:07:46.348377Z","condition":"Yes if the Kuomintang wins more of the 22 county magistrates and city mayors than any other party (including independents counted separately) when the Central Election Commission certifies the 28 November 2026 results. No if the DPP or any other party wins more, or if the KMT ties for the largest bloc.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1cfa8-82f0-72d5-9509-2f083a8f54fb","title":"Will the DPP win the New Taipei City mayoralty in the 28 November 2026 local elections?","status":"open","probability":0.45,"as_of":"2026-11-12T12:08:09.711400Z","deadline":"2026-11-30T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}