{"id":"01a1cd17-4b59-795d-9783-5be65f176efe","title":"Will the FOMC raise the target range by 50bp to 4.25–4.50% on 9 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cc23-9b2d-7b89-93cb-94aa18565eb5","deadline":"2026-12-10T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.13,"as_of":"2026-11-12T00:10:18.325764Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1cd17-2abb-7f47-b5ec-24984f778a6a","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T00:10:18.325764Z","condition":"Yes if the 9 December 2026 FOMC statement sets the target range at 4.25–4.50% (a 50bp increase).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1cd17-2abb-7f47-b5ec-24984f778a6a","title":"Will the FOMC raise the federal funds target range at its 8–9 December 2026 meeting?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}