{"id":"01a1cd16-f94b-7638-8911-fdcb4113f30f","title":"Will the European Parliament adopt the relaxed 2035 car/van CO2 targets (87.5% for cars) as its negotiating mandate at the 14–17 December 2026 plenary session?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cce3-787c-73de-a94d-d77abc202b11","deadline":"2026-12-18T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.8,"as_of":"2026-11-12T00:09:57.322786Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T00:09:57.322786Z","condition":"Yes if the European Parliament, at its 14–17 December 2026 Strasbourg part-session, votes to adopt the ENVI committee's report on the revised CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (the 87.5% 2035 fleet-wide reduction target with a 7.5% low-carbon-steel credit) as Parliament's position / mandate for negotiations with the Council. No if the vote is not held in that part-session, is rejected, or is postponed to a later session.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}