{"id":"01a1cd16-98ea-706e-affa-989b8b5cc4b4","title":"Will a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cce6-b8fb-7165-95c3-b75d6d9a2e09","deadline":"2026-12-13T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.2,"as_of":"2026-11-12T00:09:32.647981Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1cd16-82a8-738d-a9b8-27fee09e46b2","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-12T00:09:32.647981Z","condition":"Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1cd16-82a8-738d-a9b8-27fee09e46b2","title":"Will Congress and the President enact further federal funding legislation by 11 December 2026, avoiding a funding lapse on 12 December 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}