{"id":"01a1cbd1-2b0b-76bb-98b8-1ba1585bd8ae","title":"Will Taiwan's FSC put the VASP management sub-laws (including the stablecoin FX-settlement rule) into force on or before 31 March 2027?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1cba9-5a9c-7d2c-afcd-61203852ba7f","deadline":"2027-03-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.7,"as_of":"2026-11-11T18:14:05.278448Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T18:14:05.278448Z","condition":"YES if Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission (金管會) formally announces that the 虛擬資產服務商管理辦法 sub-laws under the 虛擬資產服務法 — including the rule treating NTD/foreign-currency stablecoin exchange as bank FX settlement (結匯) — have entered into force (施行) on or before 31 March 2027. NO if by that date the sub-laws remain in pre-announcement/consultation or have been promulgated but not yet in force.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}