{"id":"01a1cbd0-1e67-74fc-9ec4-28ee0d473fa8","title":"Will the Bank of Russia leave its key rate unchanged at 14.00% at the 18 December 2026 board meeting?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1cb89-eb29-7523-8e13-a883fa80d3c0","deadline":"2026-12-19T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.78,"as_of":"2026-11-11T18:12:56.542961Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T18:12:56.542961Z","condition":"YES if the Bank of Russia's board announcement following its 18 December 2026 meeting states the key rate is unchanged at 14.00% per annum. NO if the board sets any other level (cut to 13.75% or lower, or a hike to 14.25%/14.5% or higher) at that meeting.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}