{"id":"01a1cbcf-b0b0-7fb2-b137-89441fcc7b51","title":"Will COP31 end without adopting a cover decision by 23 November 2026 — closing suspended to a resumed session or substantive decisions deferred to COP32?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c9cd-6fd7-7a49-86fe-40d097f54818","deadline":"2026-11-24T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.25,"as_of":"2026-11-11T18:12:28.460611Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1cbcf-4add-7877-a7f1-a6280beba850","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T18:12:28.460611Z","condition":"YES if by 23:59 TRT on 23 November 2026 no COP31 cover decision has been gavelled through, because the closing plenary was suspended/adjourned to a resumed session, or the conference closed procedurally with contested texts (finance, adaptation, just transition) carried over to COP32.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1cbcf-4add-7877-a7f1-a6280beba850","title":"Will COP31 in Antalya formally close with an adopted cover decision by 23:59 TRT on 20 November 2026, without the closing plenary being suspended to a resumed session?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}