{"id":"01a1cbcf-6980-7e93-8f59-3287e067620c","title":"Will COP31's closing plenary overrun past 20 November 2026 but still gavel through a cover decision on or before 23 November 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c9cd-6fd7-7a49-86fe-40d097f54818","deadline":"2026-11-24T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.5,"as_of":"2026-11-11T18:12:10.226182Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1cbcf-4add-7877-a7f1-a6280beba850","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T18:12:10.226182Z","condition":"YES if the Antalya closing plenary runs past 23:59 TRT on 20 November 2026 (into 21 November or later) and the COP31 cover decision / package of decisions is nevertheless adopted at that overrunning closing plenary on or before 23 November 2026, with no resumed session.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1cbcf-4add-7877-a7f1-a6280beba850","title":"Will COP31 in Antalya formally close with an adopted cover decision by 23:59 TRT on 20 November 2026, without the closing plenary being suspended to a resumed session?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}