{"id":"01a1ca84-cd30-77c5-b9cf-08038c9da418","title":"Will Gibran Rakabuming Raka formally resign as Vice-President of Indonesia before the DPR adopts the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1c964-9a68-75ee-937b-3009e754cf8d","deadline":"2026-12-17T16:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-11T12:11:03.298284Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1ca83-e464-7bbb-8631-40680cf416a7","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T12:11:03.298284Z","condition":"Yes if Gibran submits a formal written resignation as Vice-President (not merely a stated intention reported by the State Secretariat) and it takes effect before any DPR plenary adoption of the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1ca83-e464-7bbb-8631-40680cf416a7","title":"Will Indonesia's DPR fail to adopt the Hak Menyatakan Pendapat (HMP) against Vice-President Gibran Rakabuming Raka by the end of Masa Persidangan II on 17 December 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}