{"id":"01a1c93b-5f2b-7589-a798-339002e52600","title":"Will Kenya's Court of Appeal instead strike down section 44 of the Banking Act (removing the Cabinet Secretary's approval power) before any amending statute is enacted, on or before 31 December 2027?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1c8fd-4e34-7fce-b5ac-81f93a5b8c9e","deadline":"2027-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.2,"as_of":"2026-11-11T06:11:13.831828Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c93b-4182-7e8e-8846-b9293b513dad","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T06:11:13.831828Z","condition":"YES if the Court of Appeal of Kenya delivers a judgment on or before 31 December 2027 in Kenya Bankers Association v Attorney General & Another (appeal against the High Court judgment of 11 December 2025) that declares section 44 of the Banking Act unconstitutional or otherwise removes the requirement for Cabinet Secretary approval of interest-rate and charge increases, and no amending statute has been assented to by that date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c93b-4182-7e8e-8846-b9293b513dad","title":"Will Kenya enact a statutory amendment moving approval of bank interest-rate and charge changes from the Treasury Cabinet Secretary to the Central Bank of Kenya on or before 31 December 2027?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}