{"id":"01a1c93b-4182-7e8e-8846-b9293b513dad","title":"Will Kenya enact a statutory amendment moving approval of bank interest-rate and charge changes from the Treasury Cabinet Secretary to the Central Bank of Kenya on or before 31 December 2027?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1c8fd-4e34-7fce-b5ac-81f93a5b8c9e","deadline":"2027-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.3,"as_of":"2026-11-11T06:11:06.186042Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T06:11:06.186042Z","condition":"YES if Kenya's National Assembly passes and the President assents to a statute amending section 44 of the Banking Act (Cap. 488) so that approval of changes to banks' interest rates and charges moves from the Cabinet Secretary for the National Treasury to the Central Bank of Kenya (or the requirement is repealed outright), on or before 31 December 2027. A court ruling, a CBK guideline or a ministerial statement does not count.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1c93b-5f2b-7589-a798-339002e52600","title":"Will Kenya's Court of Appeal instead strike down section 44 of the Banking Act (removing the Cabinet Secretary's approval power) before any amending statute is enacted, on or before 31 December 2027?","status":"open","probability":0.2,"as_of":"2026-11-11T06:11:13.831828Z","deadline":"2027-12-31T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}