{"id":"01a1c939-f2b6-769d-b43c-cae09abe0803","title":"Will the Australian Government introduce the Australian AI Standards bill — the legislation that would create the new AI safety regulator — into the federal Parliament on or before 31 December 2027?","target_type":"decision","target_id":"01a1c832-b8f4-7186-bf58-c2c1382f419a","deadline":"2027-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.65,"as_of":"2026-11-11T06:09:40.521430Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-11T06:09:40.521430Z","condition":"YES if a bill establishing the Australian AI Standards (including the proposed targeted AI safety regulator with penalty powers) is introduced and read a first time in either chamber of the Australian federal Parliament on or before 31 December 2027, as recorded on the Parliament House bills list or in the explanatory memorandum. Announcements, consultation papers, exposure drafts and committee reports do not count; only introduction of a bill does.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}