{"id":"01a1c6a8-df48-73ab-8b91-ace202c39e3a","title":"Will the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council end without any new EU financing decision for Ukraine's 2027 gap, deferring it to a later meeting?","target_type":"decision","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-11-28T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.65,"as_of":"2026-11-10T18:11:58.407339Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c6a8-4f6d-77fe-af8e-a84d0866f281","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T18:11:58.407339Z","condition":"Yes if the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council concludes with no political agreement on new EU financing for Ukraine's 2027 needs and the matter is explicitly left to a later European Council or to the Commission to bring forward a proposal at a future date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c6a8-4f6d-77fe-af8e-a84d0866f281","title":"Will the special European Council of 26–27 November 2026 agree new EU financing to cover Ukraine's 2027 budget shortfall?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}