{"id":"01a1c5ff-c98a-778f-b165-1a745d9130db","title":"Will Trump and Xi hold a bilateral meeting in Shenzhen during APEC (18–19 November 2026) even if no trilateral with Putin takes place?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c5d6-5f72-7514-bc4f-85f990efc17e","deadline":"2026-11-20T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.56,"as_of":"2026-11-12T04:00:00Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c5ff-62b6-7fe9-9402-056996d39ab7","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T15:07:17.255476Z","condition":"YES if Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person bilaterally in Shenzhen on 18–19 November 2026 and no three-way meeting including Putin occurs, as reported by a major wire service or official readout.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c5ff-62b6-7fe9-9402-056996d39ab7","title":"Will a Trump–Xi–Putin trilateral meeting actually be held on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen on 18–19 November 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":17}