{"id":"01a1c5ff-acbe-7f3c-a72a-852b03ce09e0","title":"Will Skyways begin Skyreach customer flights (defense or commercial) on or before 31 December 2026, as announced on 9 November 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c279-f11a-753c-8414-4aab1a29f625","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.6,"as_of":"2026-11-10T15:07:09.879911Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T15:07:09.879911Z","condition":"YES if at least one Skyreach aircraft flight carrying customer cargo for an existing defense or commercial customer takes place on or before 31 December 2026, confirmed by Skyways, the customer, or trade/aviation press. Ground tests, qualification flights without a customer, or flights slipping into January 2027 do not count.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}