{"id":"01a1c55d-bbf4-7388-a171-4a0f059528e4","title":"Will Kyrgyzstan's CEC formally register Sadyr Japarov as a candidate for the 27 January 2027 presidential election on or before 23 December 2026?","target_type":"decision","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-12-23T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.93,"as_of":"2026-11-10T12:10:16.946679Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T12:10:16.946679Z","condition":"Yes if Kyrgyzstan's Central Commission for Elections and Referendums (CEC, chaired by Tynchtyk Shainazarov) formally registers Sadyr Japarov as a candidate in the 27 January 2027 presidential election on or before 2026-12-23, i.e. publishes a decision/extract listing him among registered candidates on shailoo.gov.kg or reports it to the press. Filing his self-nomination application (done 2026-11-10) does NOT count; collecting 30,000 signatures does NOT count on its own.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}