{"id":"01a1c36b-9f47-72bc-9bc2-34b1925e5dd3","title":"Will the IAEA inspect one of Iran's bombed enrichment facilities (Natanz, Fordow or Isfahan) on or before 31 March 2027?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c34a-601c-7c21-8f3b-5589412694dc","deadline":"2027-03-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.3,"as_of":"2026-11-10T03:06:12.676841Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T03:06:12.676841Z","condition":"YES if, on or before 2027-03-31, a dated statement by the IAEA and/or an Iranian government spokesperson confirms that IAEA inspectors have carried out an inspection at one or more of Iran's bombed enrichment facilities (Natanz, Fordow or Isfahan). NO if no such inspection is confirmed by that date, including the case where talks continue without access being granted.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}