{"id":"01a1c36b-5c52-786f-88c4-68f206fd816b","title":"Will Eisenkot's mandate end without any Knesset confidence vote in a new government on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.55,"as_of":"2026-11-10T03:05:55.526302Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c36b-426a-7bd4-845b-8ab3106a9066","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T03:05:55.526302Z","condition":"YES if by 2026-12-31 Eisenkot has returned the mandate to President Herzog, or the 28+14 day window has lapsed, and no Knesset confidence vote has installed any new government. NO if a new government (Eisenkot-led or otherwise) is approved by that date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c36b-426a-7bd4-845b-8ab3106a9066","title":"Will the Knesset approve a government headed by Gadi Eisenkot on or before 31 December 2026?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}