{"id":"01a1c36b-426a-7bd4-845b-8ab3106a9066","title":"Will the Knesset approve a government headed by Gadi Eisenkot on or before 31 December 2026?","target_type":"event","target_id":null,"deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.4,"as_of":"2026-11-10T03:05:48.905250Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T03:05:48.905250Z","condition":"YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, the Knesset votes confidence in a government in which Gadi Eisenkot is prime minister (reported by at least one dated news source or the Knesset/president's office). NO if no such confidence vote occurs by that date, including the case where Eisenkot returns the mandate, the mandate lapses, or another MK is tasked instead.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1c36b-5c52-786f-88c4-68f206fd816b","title":"Will Eisenkot's mandate end without any Knesset confidence vote in a new government on or before 31 December 2026?","status":"open","probability":0.55,"as_of":"2026-11-10T03:05:55.526302Z","deadline":"2026-12-31T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}