{"id":"01a1c2c3-9c67-7020-b469-c67e49959233","title":"Will the MPC Oceanic–Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition be terminated or abandoned before completion on or before 30 June 2027?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c0a3-e761-7cfb-8feb-b03d3a82b5b7","deadline":"2027-06-30T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-10T00:02:41.894503Z","is_exclusive":true,"parent_forecast_id":"01a1c2c3-8907-75fd-9cf4-8e8bf742df52","branch_count":0,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T00:02:41.894503Z","condition":"YES if MPC Oceanic Group AG or Castor Maritime announces that the Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition agreement has been terminated, abandoned, or lapsed (including failure to obtain regulatory/antitrust approval) on or before 30 June 2027. NO if the deal completes or no such termination is announced by that date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":{"id":"01a1c2c3-8907-75fd-9cf4-8e8bf742df52","title":"Will MPC Oceanic Group complete its acquisition of a 41% stake in Marlow Navigation on or before 30 June 2027?","status":"open"},"branches":[],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}