{"id":"01a1c2c3-8907-75fd-9cf4-8e8bf742df52","title":"Will MPC Oceanic Group complete its acquisition of a 41% stake in Marlow Navigation on or before 30 June 2027?","target_type":"event","target_id":"01a1c0a3-e761-7cfb-8feb-b03d3a82b5b7","deadline":"2027-06-30T23:59:59Z","status":"open","probability":0.85,"as_of":"2026-11-10T00:02:36.934754Z","is_exclusive":false,"parent_forecast_id":null,"branch_count":1,"resolution_outcome":null,"recorded_at":"2026-11-10T00:02:36.934754Z","condition":"YES if MPC Oceanic Group AG (Castor Maritime subsidiary) announces completion/closing of its acquisition of a 41% stake in Marlow Navigation Co. Ltd. — i.e. the share transfer and capital increase against contributions in kind are executed — on or before 30 June 2027, per a company ad-hoc release, Castor Maritime press release, or Marlow statement. NO if no completion is announced by that date.","forecast_type":"binary","parent":null,"branches":[{"id":"01a1c2c3-9c67-7020-b469-c67e49959233","title":"Will the MPC Oceanic–Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition be terminated or abandoned before completion on or before 30 June 2027?","status":"open","probability":0.15,"as_of":"2026-11-10T00:02:41.894503Z","deadline":"2027-06-30T23:59:59Z"}],"resolution":null,"point_count":1}